ISSUE #1

November 27, 2025

Five ways developers lose buyer confidence

And how to avoid them so you can close faster and on better terms.

Even seasoned development teams can quietly erode deal value long before a project hits the market. A single stale document, an overly optimistic assumption, or a messy handoff can create just enough doubt for a buyer to slow-roll diligence—or worse, renegotiate price when you’re already close to the finish line.

In a market where competition to sell is heating up, the developers who anticipate these issues early are the ones who transact quickly, retain leverage, and build long-term buyer trust.

Here are the five pitfalls that most often break buyer confidence and what “better” looks like in practice.

1. Stale Documentation

Nothing shakes buyer confidence faster than outdated documents or a data room that feels improvised. A Phase I ESA that expires in three weeks, a permit that hasn’t been updated, or an estoppel letter that still needs third-party coordination sends an immediate signal that a project hasn’t been maintained with the rigor buyers expect.

Because buyers operate on tight diligence timelines, anything approaching expiration triggers questions about what else might be incomplete or out of sync. The real danger is how distracting this becomes. Buyers lose focus on the substance of the project because they’re busy reconciling old files, chasing clarifications, or stress-testing risks that may no longer be relevant. Every gap invites new questions, and more questions slow the bid process and reduce bidder participation.

The fix is surprisingly simple. Refresh critical documents before going to market. Track expirations like obligations. Only share up-to-date materials or clearly caveat anything older that’s included for directional context. Present it all in a clean, consistent structure.

Small signals matter, and updated documents send the clearest one: you can trust what you’re looking at.

2. Schedules that don’t hold up

A schedule is a direct signal of how well a developer understands their own project. When milestones rest on assumptions that ignore permitting realities or procurement lead times, buyers immediately start recalibrating both risk and value.

Buyers have seen too many schedules built on optimism rather than constraints. As soon as things don’t line up, they rebuild the critical path themselves, revise COD expectations, and layer in protections or holdbacks to hedge against slippage. What could have been a fast-moving process becomes slower and far more cautious.

Timelines earn trust when they reflect what’s actually happening on the ground. Validate permit durations with people who know the jurisdiction. Pressure-test lead times with EPCs and suppliers. Build ambition on top of reality. A credible schedule is one of the fastest ways to build buyer confidence.

3. Counterparty chaos

For all the technical rigor that goes into a project, deals often wobble because the humans around it aren’t aligned. A landowner unsure about next steps, a building owner who feels blindsided, or a PPA offtaker whose credit hasn’t been vetted all create friction that buyers notice instantly.

To a buyer, shaky counterparties mean shaky foundations. They slow down, double-check obligations, and stress-test the stability of the relationships on which the project depends. More diligence. More protections. More downward price pressure.

The remedy is thoughtful, proactive coordination. Prepare stakeholders well before the sale. Validate credit early. Deliver transitions that feel deliberate rather than reactive. When counterparties are aligned and informed, buyers see a project supported by relationships they won’t have to repair.

4. Untested financial assumptions

Buyers expect seller models to be optimistic, but also reasonable. When generation is padded, costs are understated, or key risks are glossed over, buyers don’t see ambition; they see a story that won’t survive diligence.

And they always check. As soon as they plug your numbers into their own model, anything that feels off triggers deeper scrutiny, slower timelines, and firmer protections. In tougher cases, bids get resized — or worse, pulled — when the true risk profile comes into focus.

The strongest models get in front of this. Validate costs and generation with the people closest to the work. Acknowledge risks early and clearly. Show how they’re mitigated rather than hoping they stay buried. A grounded high case sends a powerful message: you won’t need to rebuild this model from scratch.

5. A weak story

Even the best projects can lose momentum when the story guiding the sale doesn’t hold together. When a seller goes to market without a coherent commercial strategy, a clear technical rationale for why the project is valuable, or the pre-work that ties development progress to a compelling narrative, buyers are left to assemble the picture themselves. And whenever a buyer has to connect the dots, they assume risk lives between them.

This shows up everywhere: materials that don’t support a central thesis, process deadlines that feel arbitrary, outdated documents mixed with current ones, and a data room that feels more like storage than storytelling. Buyers respond by slowing down, asking more questions, and discounting for uncertainty.

A strong story flips that dynamic. It aligns documents, data, and development work into a narrative that makes sense in a buyer’s underwriting model and in their IC decks. It shows you’ve closed the big gaps before coming to market, that you understand the value drivers of your project, and that the process has a clear path to close. When sellers do this pre-work, buyers move faster, bids get firmer earlier, and confidence builds with every step.

Precision is a competitive advantage

Ultimately, buyers are making decisions through a risk lens. Every stale document, unverifiable assumption, or loose handoff introduces uncertainty that slows deals, complicates structures, and pushes pricing in the wrong direction.

When you enter a sale process with clean documentation, realistic assumptions, and well-managed counterparties, you make it easier for buyers to move quickly, trust the information, and focus on value rather than vulnerability.

The developers who master these five areas sell more projects, close on better terms, and become the partners buyers return to again and again.

IN THE NEWS

Every major solar component now made in the US. The U.S. has finally built out every link in the solar supply chain, from polysilicon to finished modules, thanks to a flood of new factories and $36B in investments. It’s a milestone, but not without growing pains: new plants often face a 1-3 “teething period” of defects and QA hiccups before hitting stride. The big questions now are how fast U.S. manufacturers can catch up to China’s quality and how much pricier that domestic equipment will be.

Avangrid expanding its interconnection pilot. A New York utility company is shaking up how clean energy gets on the grid with a new approach called flexible interconnection. Instead of waiting years (and paying millions) for grid upgrades, projects can ramp generation up or down based on real-time grid conditions — meaning more solar and batteries can plug in faster. Flexible interconnection could blow open bottlenecks that have slowed clean energy development for years, offering a viable path to developers looking to bring projects into a 2028 COD timeframe.

Microsoft has AI GPUs “sitting in inventory” because it lacks the power necessary to install them. In a stark reversal of the semiconductor supply crunch, the bottleneck for AI buildout has shifted squarely to grid capacity. This shift has major implications for renewable energy developers and investors. Energy projects that can align with data center timelines and interconnection constraints are positioned to capture meaningful upside.

Illinois set to procure 3GW of energy storage by 2030. Last month, Illinois passed the Clean and Reliable Grid Affordability Act, requiring utilities to add 3 gigawatts of energy storage by 2030 and launching programs for virtual power plants and geothermal incentives. Developers and investors should note that incentives are performance-based, meaning payments come only after a storage project delivers real grid support. This makes it essential to model performance accurately, use reliable technology, and plan for delayed but more dependable revenue tied to actual results.

Dominion Energy seeking RFPs for renewables PPAs. Dominion Energy has launched a new RFP for long-term PPAs spanning solar, onshore wind, stand-alone storage, and hybrid projects in Virginia and North Carolina. This opens one of the region’s most significant near-term procurement windows, giving developers a chance to secure predictable, utility-backed revenue streams at a time when PPA demand elsewhere is tightening.

UPCOMING INDUSTRY EVENTS

Intersolar & Energy Storage Texas. This Texas-focused show kicks off today in Grapevine, TX, with two days of programming spanning load growth, DERs, and policy changes in the Lone Star State.

2025 Annual Con Edison Energy Storage Day. Tomorrow, NY-BEST and Con Edison are hosting this annual event focused on energy storage opportunities in Con Edison territory.

MEET THE TEAM

Are you attending RE+ Community Energy in Illinois on December 2–3?

Come say hi to the team. We’ll be there alongside utility executives, clean energy policymakers, and community solar innovators.

If you’d like to meet, just reply to this email and we’ll coordinate a time.

IN THE NEWS

PJM stakeholders fail to agree on data center interconnection rules.

PJM stakeholders failed to agree on new interconnection rules for large loads like data centers, leaving the PJM board to craft its own plan for FERC and extending uncertainty in an already strained market. Data-center growth is driving billions in higher capacity prices, and PJM expects 32 GW of load growth by 2030, yet without clear interconnection rules, that demand may not translate into timely project connections. The uncertainty increases interconnection and timeline risk for developers and adds regulatory and revenue-forecast risk for investors.

Read more

Wisconsin lawmakers look to break utility grip on community solar.

A bill in Wisconsin, Senate Bill 559, aims to open the community solar market by allowing third-party developers (not just utilities) to build shared solar projects, but it’s facing strong opposition from major utilities that argue non-subscribing customers would end up subsidizing these projects. If it passes, the bill would signal a meaningful shift toward more competitive, developer-driven solar development in Wisconsin, unlocking new project pipelines and investment opportunities that were previously blocked by utility control.

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A huge congratulations to Catalyze for being recognized by Wood Mackenzie as the top installer for community solar installations in 2025 (data through Q3)! This milestone highlights the incredible work their team is doing to expand clean energy access and bring more community solar projects to life across the country. We’re proud to work alongside a team that’s helping move the industry forward and make clean energy more accessible.